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UniCredit estimates that BNR will reduce key interest rate to 6.50% by end of 2010

UniCredit Group has reviewed the estimate for the level of monetary policy interest rate at the end of 2010 to 6.50% from 7%, modifyin at the same time the prognosis for average inflation in 2010 to 3.9% from 4.3%.

For the end of 2009 UniCredit analysts estimate that BNR will maintain the key interest rate at the present 8% level, which will drop to 6.5% in 2010 and 5.75% in 2011. At the same time, the report published on Monday by the Italian group takes into account an average inflation of 5.7% this year, an estimate reviewed from the previous one of 6.1%. For 2011 UniCredit estimates an average inflation rate of 3.8%.As for the exchange rate, analysts estimate an average level of 4.24% lei/euro in 2009 and 4.30 lei/euro at the end of the year. In the previous report analysts anticipated an average exchange rate of 4.29 lei/euro this year and 4.50 lei/euro at the end of the year. For the end of 2010 UniCredit reviewed the prognosis for the exchange rate at 4.20 lei/euro, from the previous estimate of 4.28 lei/euro.

Sursa: http://www.actmedia.eu

Tags: average euro estimate interest unicredit bnr

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